Monday, February 4, 2008

DO WINNABLE PRIMARIES BECOME WINNABLE STATES?

Let’s look at what primaries Hillary Clinton has won: New Hampshire, Michigan, Nevada and Florida. On balance Barack Obama has prevailed in Iowa, and South Carolina. Next consider Fauxvians, where Mrs. Clinton is likely to win: New York, California, New Jersey and most of New England, while Mr. Obama looks good in the Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee and Arkansas primaries. Not entirely but for the most part, Hill is winning primaries where the Dems will, should, or could win in a national election, while Barack looks best where in recent elections, for the most part, the Democrats have done worse. Maybe it’s a Barack to the Future foreshadowing, that he did win, and we should note solidly, where his party couldn’t, or maybe these golden moments for Barack are Election Day fool’s gold as in indelibly red.

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